Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAOA52339
Friteuse Air Fryer - TEFAL - Easy Fry Max Digitale - 5L - Écran Digital - Technologie Air Pulse
longtail
3P
PETIT APPAREIL DE CUISSON
Last 4 weeks demand
2
▼ 60.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
31
Σ Stock across 5 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-08-05 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 928
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-07-20
AAAOA52339
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 52 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Friteuse Air Fryer - TEFAL - Easy Fry Max Digitale - 5L - Écran Digital - Technologie Air Pulse · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 2 units, trending down -60.0% · on-hand 31 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (532 days of history, 55 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.66 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 2 units · prev 4w = 5 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.6 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 6.7 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 25.2 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 3.3 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 13.3 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 51.8 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.2 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 48.1K |