Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAOA43146
TEFAL – Cocotte Inox Secure 5 Compact P35344 – 8 L
longtail
3P
CUISSON DES ALIMENTS
Last 4 weeks demand
13
▲ 62.5% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
-7.1%
vs same 4w last year (14 units)
Current stock
11
≈ 4.9 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 736
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-07
AAAOA43146
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 66 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
TEFAL – Cocotte Inox Secure 5 Compact P35344 – 8 L · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 13 units, trending up +62.5% · on-hand 11 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (490 days of history, 102 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.69 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 13 units · prev 4w = 8 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 2.3 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 8.9 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 25.8 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 5.7 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 23.9 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 65.5 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.0 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 48.2K |