Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAOA42029
TEFAL - CREPIERE 22CM EASY COOK - B5540983 - Noir
midtail
3P
CUISSON DES ALIMENTS
Last 4 weeks demand
11
▼ 47.6% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
-52.2%
vs same 4w last year (23 units)
Current stock
15
≈ 2.3 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 80
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-07
AAAOA42029
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 254 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
TEFAL - CREPIERE 22CM EASY COOK - B5540983 - Noir · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 11 units, trending down -47.6% · on-hand 15 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (469 days of history, 362 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.92 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 11 units · prev 4w = 21 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 3.2 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 16.3 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 62.8 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 12.3 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 68.1 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 253.6 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 4.8 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 20.2K |