Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAOA06623
Set de 3 poêles Hascevher Lavilla Prime Granite (18/22/26 cm - 2,2 mm)
hero
1P + 3P
CUISSON DES ALIMENTS
Last 4 weeks demand
7
▲ 250.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
35
Σ Stock across 2 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
8
≈ 1.0 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-08-05
Unit price
MAD 127
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-08-02
AAAOA06623
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 43 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Set de 3 poêles Hascevher Lavilla Prime Granite (18/22/26 cm - 2,2 mm) · in the hero cohort · last 4 weeks 7 units, trending up +250.0% · on-hand 8 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: hero (539 days of history, 556 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.56 — high (lumpy)
- Recent trend: last 4w = 7 units · prev 4w = 2 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 0.3 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 1.6 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 17.2 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 0.7 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 3.8 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 43.3 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 0.7 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 5.5K |