Demand Forecast
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SKU · AAAOA06623
Set de 3 poêles Hascevher Lavilla Prime Granite (18/22/26 cm - 2,2 mm)
hero
1P
CUISSON DES ALIMENTS
Last 4 weeks demand
18
▼ 41.9% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
DORMANT
SKU existed but sold 0 units same 4w last year
Current stock
13
≈ 1.4 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 118
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-07
AAAOA06623
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 349 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Set de 3 poêles Hascevher Lavilla Prime Granite (18/22/26 cm - 2,2 mm) · in the hero cohort · last 4 weeks 18 units, trending down -41.9% · on-hand 13 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: hero (483 days of history, 550 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.45 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 18 units · prev 4w = 31 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 9.8 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 40.0 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 94.7 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 26.9 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 120.4 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 348.9 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 7.3 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 41.1K |