Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAANZ56850
oraimo Watch 5 Lite Montre intelligente IP68 HD 2,01 pouces
midtail
3P
MONTRE INTELLIGENTE - MONTRE CONNECTEE
Last 4 weeks demand
9
▼ 40.0% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
-79.5%
vs same 4w last year (44 units)
Current stock
15
≈ 2.4 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 180
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-07
AAANZ56850
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 214 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
oraimo Watch 5 Lite Montre intelligente IP68 HD 2,01 pouces · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 9 units, trending down -40.0% · on-hand 15 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (483 days of history, 360 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.30 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 9 units · prev 4w = 15 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 2.9 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 13.7 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 46.4 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 9.7 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 56.8 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 213.7 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 3.6 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 38.5K |