Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAANY70678
Verres à Thé cristallin 1 er choix - Beldi - Zelig - 12 pièces - Résistant - Haute qualité - modèles aléatoires
longtail
3P
SERVICE DE TABLE
Last 4 weeks demand
3
≈ stable (0.0% vs prev 4w)
Year-over-year
-84.2%
vs same 4w last year (19 units)
Current stock
9
≈ 3.4 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 135
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-04-28
AAANY70678
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 103 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Verres à Thé cristallin 1 er choix - Beldi - Zelig - 12 pièces - Résistant - Haute qualité - modèles aléatoires · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 3 units, stable demand · on-hand 9 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (504 days of history, 131 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.88 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 3 units · prev 4w = 3 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 1.6 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 6.9 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 25.0 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 5.3 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 25.3 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 103.1 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.9 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 13.9K |