Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAANY70533
Mini Hachoir Manuel à Tirette – Préparation Rapide pour Viandes et Légumes - Couleur aléatoire
longtail
3P
DECOUPE DES ALIMENTS
Last 4 weeks demand
5
▲ 150.0% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
+25.0%
vs same 4w last year (4 units)
Current stock
18
≈ 7.5 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 47
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-04-26
AAANY70533
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 124 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Mini Hachoir Manuel à Tirette – Préparation Rapide pour Viandes et Légumes - Couleur aléatoire · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 5 units, trending up +150.0% · on-hand 18 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (483 days of history, 82 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.76 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 5 units · prev 4w = 2 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 1.9 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 8.3 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 30.2 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 5.9 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 28.7 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 124.2 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.3 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 5.9K |