Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAANX57140
Déodorant - Tiger - Men New Relax - 150ml - Protection longue durée - Parfum masculin
longtail
1P + 3P
CORPS ET VISAGE
Last 4 weeks demand
0
≈ stable (0.0% vs prev 4w)
Offer Stock
211
Σ Stock across 4 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-02
1P stock
46
≈ 304.8 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-10-02
Unit price
MAD 14
avg of last 6 sells · latest 2026-05-12
AAANX57140
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-09-28 · Total forecast: 12 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Déodorant - Tiger - Men New Relax - 150ml - Protection longue durée - Parfum masculin · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 0 units, stable demand · on-hand 46 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (364 days of history, 3 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.61 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 0 units · prev 4w = 0 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 0.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 0.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 0.8 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 0.0 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 1.8 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 7.8 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 12.2 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | — |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 168 |