Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAANX56271
Boîte de rangement - Durable - Noir - 60x45x30cm - Pliable - Grande capacité
midtail
3P
ACCESSOIRE DE MEUBLE
Last 4 weeks demand
11
▲ 37.5% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
+120.0%
vs same 4w last year (5 units)
Current stock
1,950
≈ 609.4 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 21
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-05
AAANX56271
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 121 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Boîte de rangement - Durable - Noir - 60x45x30cm - Pliable - Grande capacité · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 11 units, trending up +37.5% · on-hand 1950 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (483 days of history, 204 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.86 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 11 units · prev 4w = 8 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 2.9 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 12.5 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 36.2 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 8.1 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 36.4 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 120.5 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.8 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 2.6K |