Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAANV96505
Ensemble de 11 outils pour poterie et sculpture, manches en bois et pointes métalliques pour modélisation d’argile et céramique
longtail
3P
LOISIRS CREATIFS ET ACTIVITES MANUELLES
OUT OF STOCK
Last 4 weeks demand
0
≈ stable (0.0% vs prev 4w)
Offer Stock
0
no live offers
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the latest snapshot
Unit price
MAD 109
avg of last 3 sells · latest 2025-12-09
AAANV96505
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 0 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Ensemble de 11 outils pour poterie et sculpture, manches en bois et pointes métalliques pour modélisation d’argile et céramique · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 0 units, stable demand · on-hand 0 units (OUT OF STOCK)
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (238 days of history, 1 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.43 — low
- Recent trend: last 4w = 0 units · prev 4w = 0 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | — units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | — units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | — units |
| Optimistic — next week | — units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | — units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | — units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | — |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | — |