Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAANU67417
HX NUTRITION Créatine Monohydrate - 300 Grammes - Saveur Naturelle
longtail
3P
NUTRITION SPORTIVE
Last 4 weeks demand
1
▼ 90.9% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
10
Σ Stock across 1 live offer
1P stock
0
not in latest 1P warehouse snapshot
Unit price
MAD 178
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-04
AAANU67417
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 114 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
HX NUTRITION Créatine Monohydrate - 300 Grammes - Saveur Naturelle · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 1 units, trending down -90.9% · on-hand 10 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (217 days of history, 70 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.04 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 1 units · prev 4w = 11 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 2.7 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 11.1 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 33.7 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 7.7 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 34.2 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 114.2 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.6 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 20.4K |