Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAANU66579
100 Gants jetables en plastique transparent pour la cuisine, le nettoyage et la manipulation des aliments,
longtail
3P
LINGE DE TABLE - CUISINE
Last 4 weeks demand
2
▼ 60.0% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
+0.0%
vs same 4w last year (2 units)
Current stock
8
≈ 4.8 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 13
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-04-26
AAANU66579
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 57 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
100 Gants jetables en plastique transparent pour la cuisine, le nettoyage et la manipulation des aliments, · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 2 units, trending down -60.0% · on-hand 8 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (504 days of history, 108 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.26 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 2 units · prev 4w = 5 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 1.0 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 4.4 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 16.4 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 4.0 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 16.4 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 57.2 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.3 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 735 |