Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAANU54358
Nokia Phone 106 4G -DOUBLE SIM - 1.8" - LED LAMPE - Mémoire de 2000 Contacts
midtail
3P
SMARTPHONE - MOBILE
Last 4 weeks demand
13
▲ 44.4% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
+30.0%
vs same 4w last year (10 units)
Current stock
8
≈ 1.8 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 134
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-08
AAANU54358
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 109 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Nokia Phone 106 4G -DOUBLE SIM - 1.8" - LED LAMPE - Mémoire de 2000 Contacts · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 13 units, trending up +44.4% · on-hand 8 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (504 days of history, 289 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.29 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 13 units · prev 4w = 9 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 2.6 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 12.0 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 34.0 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 6.9 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 33.1 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 108.6 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.6 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 14.5K |