Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAANU54354
Télephone portable Nokia 150 double sim 2.4 radio FM memoire pour 2000 contacts
midtail
3P
SMARTPHONE - MOBILE
Last 4 weeks demand
7
▼ 30.0% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
+16.7%
vs same 4w last year (6 units)
Current stock
5
≈ 1.6 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 157
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-07
AAANU54354
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 113 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Télephone portable Nokia 150 double sim 2.4 radio FM memoire pour 2000 contacts · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 7 units, trending down -30.0% · on-hand 5 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (469 days of history, 178 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.06 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 7 units · prev 4w = 10 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 2.2 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 9.7 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 27.9 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 6.4 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 31.2 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 113.2 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | — |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 17.7K |