Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAANT66912
Sac de sport - Chic - 40 x 20 x 20 cm - 16 L - Imperméable - Mixte
midtail
3P
MULTISPORT
Last 4 weeks demand
4
new activity (no prior baseline)
Offer Stock
96
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P)
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the latest snapshot
Unit price
MAD 59
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-09-26
AAANT66912
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-09-28 · Total forecast: 118 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Sac de sport - Chic - 40 x 20 x 20 cm - 16 L - Imperméable - Mixte · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 4 units, new activity (no prior baseline) · on-hand 96 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (525 days of history, 212 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.21 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 4 units · prev 4w = 0 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 0.3 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 2.9 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 33.0 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 10.0 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 6.1 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 35.9 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 118.1 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.5 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 7.0K |