Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAANT66912
Sac de sport - Chic - 40 x 20 x 20 cm - 16 L - Imperméable - Mixte
midtail
3P
MULTISPORT
OUT OF STOCK
Last 4 weeks demand
2
▼ 60.0% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
+0.0%
vs same 4w last year (2 units)
Current stock
0
depleted
Unit price
MAD 63
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-02
AAANT66912
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 114 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Sac de sport - Chic - 40 x 20 x 20 cm - 16 L - Imperméable - Mixte · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 2 units, trending down -60.0% · on-hand 0 units (OUT OF STOCK)
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (413 days of history, 260 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.20 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 2 units · prev 4w = 5 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 3.0 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 11.7 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 32.6 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 7.1 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 36.5 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 114.2 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.5 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 7.2K |