Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAANT62260
Coloration capillaire végétale - Indigo - Brun foncé - 100% naturel - 100g - Vegan
longtail
3P
CAPILLAIRE
Last 4 weeks demand
2
▼ 50.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
1,000
Σ Stock across 1 live offer
1P stock
0
not in latest 1P warehouse snapshot
Unit price
MAD 32
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-06
AAANT62260
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 54 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Coloration capillaire végétale - Indigo - Brun foncé - 100% naturel - 100g - Vegan · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 2 units, trending down -50.0% · on-hand 1000 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (511 days of history, 46 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.70 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 2 units · prev 4w = 4 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.1 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 4.3 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 14.8 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 3.6 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 15.8 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 53.6 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.1 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 1.7K |