Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAANT62234
STEVIA ERYTHRITOL POUDRE 100% NATUREL. 0 CALORIE. CONVIENT REGIME IG BAS / DIABETIQUE - 500g
longtail
3P
FARINE ET SUCRE
Last 4 weeks demand
5
▲ 150.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
992
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-08-05 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 141
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-07-22
AAANT62234
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 62 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
STEVIA ERYTHRITOL POUDRE 100% NATUREL. 0 CALORIE. CONVIENT REGIME IG BAS / DIABETIQUE - 500g · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 5 units, trending up +150.0% · on-hand 992 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (553 days of history, 7 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.66 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 5 units · prev 4w = 2 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.6 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 7.1 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 29.4 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 3.2 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 15.3 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 62.4 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.3 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 8.8K |