Demand Forecast

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Après-shampoing - GARNIER - ULTRA DOUX - Huile d'avocat - 200 ML - Ultra nourrissant
SKU · AAANR16223

Après-shampoing - GARNIER - ULTRA DOUX - Huile d'avocat - 200 ML - Ultra nourrissant

midtail 3P CAPILLAIRE
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

3
▼ 57.1% vs prev 4w

Offer Stock

246
Σ Stock across 6 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-02

1P stock

60
≈ 17.9 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-10-02

Unit price

MAD 33
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-09-27

AAANR16223

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-09-28 · Total forecast: 386 units.
Actual Realistic forecast (p50) Optimistic Out of stock

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

Après-shampoing - GARNIER - ULTRA DOUX - Huile d'avocat - 200 ML - Ultra nourrissant · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 3 units, trending down -57.1% · on-hand 60 units

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: midtail (567 days of history, 268 units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 3.51 — high (lumpy)
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 3 units · prev 4w = 7 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic forecast — next week0.7 units
Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks3.9 units
Realistic forecast — next 3 months162.3 units
Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks
the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4		9.9 units
Optimistic — next week6.2 units
Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target)29.3 units
Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)386.0 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)2.4
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 12.6K