Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAANQ76826
GENERAL Bouilloire Electrique 1,8 Litres – 1500W
longtail
1P + 3P
PETIT DEJEUNER - CAFE
Last 4 weeks demand
3
▼ 62.5% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
288
Σ Stock across 2 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-02
1P stock
188
≈ 951.1 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-10-02
Unit price
MAD 101
avg of last 16 sells · latest 2026-09-27
AAANQ76826
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-09-28 · Total forecast: 131 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
GENERAL Bouilloire Electrique 1,8 Litres – 1500W · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 3 units, trending down -62.5% · on-hand 188 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (595 days of history, 11 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.72 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 3 units · prev 4w = 8 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.4 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 8.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 27.3 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 18.6 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 13.2 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 65.0 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 131.4 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | — |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 13.3K |