Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAANM21618
Masque Remède - GARNIER - Infusion d'Eau de Riz et Amidon - 340 ml - Cheveux longs - 72H de douceur
longtail
1P
CAPILLAIRE
Last 4 weeks demand
6
≈ stable (0.0% vs prev 4w)
Year-over-year
+500.0%
vs same 4w last year (1 units)
Current stock
6
≈ 2.2 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 60
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-02
AAANM21618
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 117 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Masque Remède - GARNIER - Infusion d'Eau de Riz et Amidon - 340 ml - Cheveux longs - 72H de douceur · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 6 units, stable demand · on-hand 6 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (525 days of history, 127 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.93 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 6 units · prev 4w = 6 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 2.1 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 9.2 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 29.2 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 6.8 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 33.0 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 117.5 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.2 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 7.0K |