Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAANM21602
Crème Sans Rinçage - GARNIER - Infusion d’Eau de Riz - 200ml - 72H Douceur - Cheveux Longs
midtail
1P + 3P
CAPILLAIRE
Last 4 weeks demand
5
▼ 16.7% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
264
Σ Stock across 6 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-02
1P stock
120
≈ 35.4 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-10-02
Unit price
MAD 34
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-09-28
AAANM21602
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-09-28 · Total forecast: 210 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Crème Sans Rinçage - GARNIER - Infusion d’Eau de Riz - 200ml - 72H Douceur - Cheveux Longs · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 5 units, trending down -16.7% · on-hand 120 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (644 days of history, 182 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.97 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 5 units · prev 4w = 6 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.4 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 5.6 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 56.0 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 11.6 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 10.9 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 47.3 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 210.1 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 3.1 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 7.1K |