Demand Forecast

Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
Back to category view
GARNIER ULTRA DOUX - Après-Shampoing Infusion d’Eau de Riz et à l’Amidon - 200ml
SKU · AAANM21040

GARNIER ULTRA DOUX - Après-Shampoing Infusion d’Eau de Riz et à l’Amidon - 200ml

midtail 1P CAPILLAIRE
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

4
▼ 33.3% vs prev 4w

Year-over-year

-50.0%
vs same 4w last year (8 units)

Current stock

9
≈ 2.3 weeks of cover

Unit price

MAD 32
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-02

AAANM21040

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 111 units.
Actual Forecast p50 (expected) Forecast p95 (upper bound)

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

GARNIER ULTRA DOUX - Après-Shampoing Infusion d’Eau de Riz et à l’Amidon - 200ml · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 4 units, trending down -33.3% · on-hand 9 units

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: midtail (525 days of history, 150 units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 1.10 — moderate
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 4 units · prev 4w = 6 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic (p50) — next week2.4 units
Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks10.0 units
Realistic (p50) — next 3 months28.8 units
Optimistic (p95) — next week6.8 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target)29.8 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)111.1 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)2.2
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 3.5K