Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAANM20888
GARNIER ULTRA DOUX - Shampooing Infusion a l'Eau de Riz et l'Amidon - 400ml
midtail
1P + 3P
CAPILLAIRE
Last 4 weeks demand
8
▼ 42.9% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
227
Σ Stock across 6 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
20
≈ 4.2 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-08-05
Unit price
MAD 33
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-08-01
AAANM20888
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 130 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
GARNIER ULTRA DOUX - Shampooing Infusion a l'Eau de Riz et l'Amidon - 400ml · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 8 units, trending down -42.9% · on-hand 20 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (581 days of history, 154 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.84 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 8 units · prev 4w = 14 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 3.6 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 15.3 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 61.1 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 6.4 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 28.0 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 129.8 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.8 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 4.2K |