Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAANK80730
NOVAHAIR Huile Précieuse Antichute 100ml
longtail
3P
CAPILLAIRE
Last 4 weeks demand
2
≈ stable (0.0% vs prev 4w)
Offer Stock
72
Σ Stock across 2 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-08-05 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 194
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-08-02
AAANK80730
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 152 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
NOVAHAIR Huile Précieuse Antichute 100ml · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 2 units, stable demand · on-hand 93 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (581 days of history, 143 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.85 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 2 units · prev 4w = 2 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 2.5 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 11.8 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 62.7 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 4.3 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 24.1 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 151.5 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.6 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 29.4K |