Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAANK48649
Cintres en bois - GENERAL - Set de 5 - Barre de pantalon - Bois massif - Design contemporain
midtail
1P
ACCESSOIRE DE MEUBLE
Last 4 weeks demand
7
▼ 75.0% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
DORMANT
SKU existed but sold 0 units same 4w last year
Current stock
378
≈ 116.3 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 43
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-06
AAANK48649
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 312 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Cintres en bois - GENERAL - Set de 5 - Barre de pantalon - Bois massif - Design contemporain · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 7 units, trending down -75.0% · on-hand 378 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (497 days of history, 233 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 2.43 — high (lumpy)
- Recent trend: last 4w = 7 units · prev 4w = 28 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 3.2 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 16.7 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 61.6 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 16.0 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 92.3 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 311.9 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 4.7 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 13.6K |