Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAANK48649
Cintres en bois - GENERAL - Set de 5 - Barre de pantalon - Bois massif - Design contemporain
midtail
3P
ACCESSOIRE DE MEUBLE
OUT OF STOCK
Last 4 weeks demand
4
▼ 91.3% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
182
Σ Stock across 3 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-08-05 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 32
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-07-17
AAANK48649
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 392 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Cintres en bois - GENERAL - Set de 5 - Barre de pantalon - Bois massif - Design contemporain · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 4 units, trending down -91.3% · on-hand 0 units (OUT OF STOCK)
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (539 days of history, 303 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 2.05 — high (lumpy)
- Recent trend: last 4w = 4 units · prev 4w = 46 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 8.1 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 33.5 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 140.4 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 19.9 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 84.2 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 391.7 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 5.3 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 12.6K |