Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAANK48648
Cintres en bois - Non spécifié - Set de 6 - Barre de pantalon - Couleur jaune - Style essentiel
midtail
1P + 3P
ACCESSOIRE DE MEUBLE
Last 4 weeks demand
2
▼ 60.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
202
Σ Stock across 2 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
69
≈ 20.9 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-08-05
Unit price
MAD 53
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-07-20
AAANK48648
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 136 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Cintres en bois - Non spécifié - Set de 6 - Barre de pantalon - Couleur jaune - Style essentiel · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 2 units, trending down -60.0% · on-hand 69 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (574 days of history, 260 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.26 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 2 units · prev 4w = 5 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 3.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 14.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 61.6 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 5.8 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 27.8 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 136.5 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.7 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 7.2K |