Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAANK05192
Assiette plate de 26 cm avec motif marron – une touche élégante pour vos repas
longtail
1P + 3P
SERVICE DE TABLE
Last 4 weeks demand
1
▼ 75.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
106
Σ Stock across 4 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
29
≈ 28.0 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-08-05
Unit price
MAD 36
avg of last 27 sells · latest 2026-07-26
AAANK05192
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 130 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Assiette plate de 26 cm avec motif marron – une touche élégante pour vos repas · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 1 units, trending down -75.0% · on-hand 29 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (581 days of history, 70 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.88 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 1 units · prev 4w = 4 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 3.2 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 14.1 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 57.9 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 6.5 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 30.3 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 130.4 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.5 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 4.7K |