Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAANJ92158
Sacs de rangement - Non spécifié - Pack de 4 - Grande capacité - Fenêtre transparente - Polypropylène non-tissé
hero
3P
ACCESSOIRE DE MEUBLE
Last 4 weeks demand
15
▼ 48.3% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
-88.0%
vs same 4w last year (125 units)
Current stock
960
≈ 86.7 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 73
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-07
AAANJ92158
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 271 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Sacs de rangement - Non spécifié - Pack de 4 - Grande capacité - Fenêtre transparente - Polypropylène non-tissé · in the hero cohort · last 4 weeks 15 units, trending down -48.3% · on-hand 960 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: hero (497 days of history, 517 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.98 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 15 units · prev 4w = 29 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 5.8 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 28.2 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 73.9 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 15.4 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 83.9 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 271.1 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 5.7 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 19.9K |