Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAANI12409
Set de 3 cintres en bois – Avec barre de pantalon
longtail
1P + 3P
ACCESSOIRE DE MEUBLE
Last 4 weeks demand
10
▲ 900.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
154
Σ Stock across 4 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
47
≈ 49.5 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-08-05
Unit price
MAD 20
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-07-23
AAANI12409
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 161 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Set de 3 cintres en bois – Avec barre de pantalon · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 10 units, trending up +900.0% · on-hand 47 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (546 days of history, 73 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.97 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 10 units · prev 4w = 1 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 3.7 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 16.3 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 65.5 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 7.5 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 35.8 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 160.9 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.7 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 3.2K |