Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAANI12409
Set de 3 cintres en bois – Avec barre de pantalon
longtail
1P
ACCESSOIRE DE MEUBLE
Last 4 weeks demand
0
▼ 100.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
149
Σ Stock across 4 live offers
1P stock
58
≈ 67.1 weeks of cover · latest warehouse snapshot
Unit price
MAD 18
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-04-05
AAANI12409
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 113 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Set de 3 cintres en bois – Avec barre de pantalon · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 0 units, trending down -100.0% · on-hand 58 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (483 days of history, 62 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.00 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 0 units · prev 4w = 3 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.7 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 8.5 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 28.6 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 6.6 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 32.1 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 113.3 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.2 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 2.0K |