Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAANH04765
PACK (Bien lire et comprendre, le livre unique de lecture de la première annéeRomans & Livres) 3 LIVRE
longtail
3P
LNPR - LIVRE NEUF A PRIX REDUIT
Last 4 weeks demand
0
≈ stable (0.0% vs prev 4w)
Offer Stock
10
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-07-08
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-07-08 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 199
avg of last 8 sells · latest 2026-05-17
AAANH04765
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-07-06 · Total forecast: 0 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
PACK (Bien lire et comprendre, le livre unique de lecture de la première annéeRomans & Livres) 3 LIVRE · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 0 units, stable demand · on-hand 10 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (406 days of history, 7 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.61 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 0 units · prev 4w = 0 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | — units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | — units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | — units |
| Optimistic — next week | — units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | — units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | — units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | — |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | — |