Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAANH01053
Balance de Cuisine Numérique en Verre Lamacom - Précision 1g - Capacité 5kg
longtail
3P
PREPARATION CULINAIRE
Last 4 weeks demand
1
new activity (no prior baseline)
Year-over-year
DORMANT
SKU existed but sold 0 units same 4w last year
Current stock
4
≈ 3.1 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 94
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-03
AAANH01053
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 62 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Balance de Cuisine Numérique en Verre Lamacom - Précision 1g - Capacité 5kg · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 1 units, new activity (no prior baseline) · on-hand 4 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (532 days of history, 97 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.66 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 1 units · prev 4w = 0 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 1.2 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 5.7 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 19.9 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 4.4 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 20.1 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 61.6 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.5 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 5.8K |