Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAANH00057
Tondeuse à Cheveux - KEMEI - KM-1840 - Rechargeable - Autonomie 90 min - Tête lavable
midtail
3P
COIFFURE
Last 4 weeks demand
15
▲ 36.4% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
—
not enough history (need 56+ weeks)
Current stock
20
≈ 4.8 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 153
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-07
AAANH00057
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 124 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Tondeuse à Cheveux - KEMEI - KM-1840 - Rechargeable - Autonomie 90 min - Tête lavable · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 15 units, trending up +36.4% · on-hand 20 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (273 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.00 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 15 units · prev 4w = 11 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 2.2 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 9.4 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 32.8 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 7.9 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 34.6 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 124.5 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.5 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 19.0K |