Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAANG45260
Pare-Soleil pour Voiture EAGLE
longtail
1P
CONFORT CONDUCTEUR ET PASSAGER
Last 4 weeks demand
7
▲ 133.3% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
243
Σ Stock across 4 live offers
1P stock
37
≈ 127.8 weeks of cover · latest warehouse snapshot
Unit price
MAD 19
avg of last 12 sells · latest 2026-05-07
AAANG45260
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 62 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Pare-Soleil pour Voiture EAGLE · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 7 units, trending up +133.3% · on-hand 37 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (532 days of history, 16 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.60 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 7 units · prev 4w = 3 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 4.4 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 14.9 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 5.5 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 19.2 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 62.3 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.1 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 1.2K |