Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAANF24081
Blender Bol en Verre BL424CB – 1.5L, 500W + Moulin Denwa
longtail
1P + 3P
PREPARATION CULINAIRE
Last 4 weeks demand
31
▲ 933.3% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
46
Σ Stock across 3 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-14
1P stock
1
≈ 1.6 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-10-14
Unit price
MAD 164
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-10-03
AAANF24081
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-10-05 · Total forecast: 149 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Blender Bol en Verre BL424CB – 1.5L, 500W + Moulin Denwa · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 31 units, trending up +933.3% · on-hand 1 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (616 days of history, 49 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.25 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 31 units · prev 4w = 3 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.4 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 10.1 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 27.5 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 12.8 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 12.7 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 45.3 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 149.2 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.5 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 24.5K |