Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAANF24075
Lingettes - Corine de Farme - Essential - 99% Eau - Hypoallergéniques - Pack de 70
midtail
1P
HYGIENE BEBE
Last 4 weeks demand
8
▼ 77.8% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
-63.6%
vs same 4w last year (22 units)
Current stock
57
≈ 13.2 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 33
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-05
AAANF24075
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 177 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Lingettes - Corine de Farme - Essential - 99% Eau - Hypoallergéniques - Pack de 70 · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 8 units, trending down -77.8% · on-hand 57 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (518 days of history, 256 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.10 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 8 units · prev 4w = 36 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 3.6 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 13.9 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 41.0 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 16.1 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 65.8 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 177.3 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 3.2 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 5.8K |