Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAANF24052
Savon Authentique Taous – Lot de 4 x 120g
hero
3P
CORPS ET VISAGE
Last 4 weeks demand
1
≈ stable (0.0% vs prev 4w)
Offer Stock
1,856
Σ Stock across 3 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-02
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-10-02 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 9
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-09-19
AAANF24052
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-09-28 · Total forecast: 79 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Savon Authentique Taous – Lot de 4 x 120g · in the hero cohort · last 4 weeks 1 units, stable demand · on-hand 2056 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: hero (644 days of history, 105 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 2.33 — high (lumpy)
- Recent trend: last 4w = 1 units · prev 4w = 1 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 0.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 0.5 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 14.6 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 4.6 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 4.9 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 27.2 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 78.9 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 5.3 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 707 |