Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAANF24041
Savon Solide Taous Aloe Vera – Lot de 4 x 120g
midtail
3P
CORPS ET VISAGE
Last 4 weeks demand
0
▼ 100.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
1,033
Σ Stock across 3 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-08-05 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 11
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-07-03
AAANF24041
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 435 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Savon Solide Taous Aloe Vera – Lot de 4 x 120g · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 0 units, trending down -100.0% · on-hand 1050 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (392 days of history, 242 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.87 — high (lumpy)
- Recent trend: last 4w = 0 units · prev 4w = 3 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 3.8 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 19.3 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 114.2 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 9.0 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 60.3 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 435.1 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 3.5 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 5.0K |