Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAANF24039
Savon Taous Antibactérien – Lot de 4 x 120g
hero
3P
CORPS ET VISAGE
Last 4 weeks demand
3
▲ 50.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
574
Σ Stock across 3 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-08-05 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 16
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-08-01
AAANF24039
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 368 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Savon Taous Antibactérien – Lot de 4 x 120g · in the hero cohort · last 4 weeks 3 units, trending up +50.0% · on-hand 607 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: hero (546 days of history, 274 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 2.29 — high (lumpy)
- Recent trend: last 4w = 3 units · prev 4w = 2 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 2.8 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 17.1 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 103.3 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 7.7 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 48.1 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 368.2 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 3.3 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 5.8K |