Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAANE74054
Lunette de natation - GENERIC - Anti-buée - Protection UV - Lentille HD - Bouchons d'oreilles
longtail
3P
PISCINE - PLONGEE - CHASSE SOUS-MARINE
Last 4 weeks demand
14
▼ 17.6% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
36
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-08-05 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 90
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-08-02
AAANE74054
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 142 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Lunette de natation - GENERIC - Anti-buée - Protection UV - Lentille HD - Bouchons d'oreilles · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 14 units, trending down -17.6% · on-hand 36 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (448 days of history, 56 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.82 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 14 units · prev 4w = 17 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 4.8 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 19.5 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 69.3 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 8.7 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 35.8 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 141.7 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 3.3 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 12.7K |