Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAANE22458
TAPIS COFFRE AUTO 100X90CM NOIR
longtail
3P
DECORATION DU SOL
OUT OF STOCK
Last 4 weeks demand
7
▼ 77.4% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
78
Σ Stock across 3 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-08-05 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 56
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-07-27
AAANE22458
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 78 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
TAPIS COFFRE AUTO 100X90CM NOIR · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 7 units, trending down -77.4% · on-hand 0 units (OUT OF STOCK)
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (574 days of history, 48 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.05 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 7 units · prev 4w = 31 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 2.2 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 10.2 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 37.8 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 4.9 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 21.5 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 78.0 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.8 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 4.4K |