Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAND78001
Pack de 2 Taies d’Oreiller en Flanelle Unie – 100% Coton – Couleur aléatoire
longtail
1P + 3P
LINGE DE LIT
Last 4 weeks demand
32
▲ 220.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
208
Σ Stock across 2 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-14
1P stock
30
≈ 31.4 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-10-14
Unit price
MAD 23
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-10-04
AAAND78001
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-10-05 · Total forecast: 108 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Pack de 2 Taies d’Oreiller en Flanelle Unie – 100% Coton – Couleur aléatoire · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 32 units, trending up +220.0% · on-hand 30 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (616 days of history, 82 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.28 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 32 units · prev 4w = 10 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.7 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 3.7 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 4.0 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 7.4 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 15.4 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 42.1 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 107.9 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 4.8 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 2.5K |