Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAND78001
Pack de 2 Taies d’Oreiller en Flanelle Unie – 100% Coton – Couleur aléatoire
longtail
1P
LINGE DE LIT
Last 4 weeks demand
0
≈ stable (0.0% vs prev 4w)
Offer Stock
101
Σ Stock across 2 live offers
1P stock
60
≈ 76.7 weeks of cover · latest warehouse snapshot
Unit price
MAD 22
avg of last 28 sells · latest 2026-04-30
AAAND78001
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 175 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Pack de 2 Taies d’Oreiller en Flanelle Unie – 100% Coton – Couleur aléatoire · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 0 units, stable demand · on-hand 60 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (462 days of history, 40 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.57 — high (lumpy)
- Recent trend: last 4w = 0 units · prev 4w = 0 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 5.5 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 16.8 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 40.1 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 22.0 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 68.2 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 174.6 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 3.1 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 3.8K |