Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAND77966
Bouilloire Siffleuse KENZ K12 - Format XL 4,3L - Inox Rouge Éclatant - Tous Feux dont Induction
longtail
1P
SERVICE PETIT DEJEUNER
Last 4 weeks demand
16
new activity (no prior baseline)
Offer Stock
52
Σ Stock across 4 live offers
1P stock
17
≈ 20.5 weeks of cover · latest warehouse snapshot
Unit price
MAD 110
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-03
AAAND77966
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 61 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Bouilloire Siffleuse KENZ K12 - Format XL 4,3L - Inox Rouge Éclatant - Tous Feux dont Induction · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 16 units, new activity (no prior baseline) · on-hand 17 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (483 days of history, 57 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.17 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 16 units · prev 4w = 0 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.1 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 4.6 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 18.4 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 3.8 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 18.3 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 61.4 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.4 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 6.7K |