Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAANB26156
Porte-vêtements à Double pôle au sol Avec Roues , 4 crochets et 2 étagères 48Kg
longtail
3P
PORTE-MANTEAU - PATERE
Last 4 weeks demand
15
≈ stable (0.0% vs prev 4w)
Year-over-year
+650.0%
vs same 4w last year (2 units)
Current stock
49
≈ 26.1 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 259
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-06
AAANB26156
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 74 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Porte-vêtements à Double pôle au sol Avec Roues , 4 crochets et 2 étagères 48Kg · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 15 units, stable demand · on-hand 49 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (553 days of history, 135 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.83 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 15 units · prev 4w = 15 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 2.0 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 8.5 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 25.9 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 5.8 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 26.1 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 74.2 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.0 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 19.2K |