Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAANB25494
support PC portable réglable en aluminium pliable à 7 niveaux pour MacBook Air Pro,PC,iPad,Notebook,Tablette
longtail
3P
PROTECTION - PERSONNALISATION - SUPPORT
Last 4 weeks demand
10
▼ 50.0% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
+233.3%
vs same 4w last year (3 units)
Current stock
2
≈ 0.8 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 46
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-05
AAANB25494
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 120 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
support PC portable réglable en aluminium pliable à 7 niveaux pour MacBook Air Pro,PC,iPad,Notebook,Tablette · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 10 units, trending down -50.0% · on-hand 2 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (532 days of history, 153 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.69 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 10 units · prev 4w = 20 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 3.6 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 15.5 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 43.2 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 9.5 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 40.2 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 120.3 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | — |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 5.5K |