Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAMZ51044
Pommeau de Douche Pressurisé avec Filtre - Économie d'Eau & Haute Pression
longtail
3P
SANITAIRE - PLOMBERIE
Last 4 weeks demand
12
▲ 9.1% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
1,008
Σ Stock across 2 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-08-05 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 35
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-08-03
AAAMZ51044
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 166 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Pommeau de Douche Pressurisé avec Filtre - Économie d'Eau & Haute Pression · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 12 units, trending up +9.1% · on-hand 1008 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (511 days of history, 140 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.92 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 12 units · prev 4w = 11 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 5.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 19.9 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 77.8 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 9.0 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 37.2 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 165.7 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 3.6 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 5.8K |