Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAMZ50572
Étagère à Chaussures 4 Niveaux - Organisation & Rangement
longtail
3P
MEUBLE DE SEJOUR - ENTREE
Last 4 weeks demand
5
▼ 58.3% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
8
Σ Stock across 2 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-08-05 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 51
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-08-01
AAAMZ50572
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 136 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Étagère à Chaussures 4 Niveaux - Organisation & Rangement · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 5 units, trending down -58.3% · on-hand 8 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (490 days of history, 182 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.71 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 5 units · prev 4w = 12 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 3.2 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 14.1 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 59.3 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 5.9 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 28.0 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 136.5 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.6 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 6.9K |