Demand Forecast
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SKU · AAAMY79901
Serviette à main - DOLORES - Noir - 30x30 cm - 400g - Coton naturel
longtail
1P
LINGE DE TOILETTE
OUT OF STOCK
Last 4 weeks demand
0
▼ 100.0% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
—
vs same 4w last year (0 units)
Current stock
0
depleted
Unit price
MAD 17
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-04-26
AAAMY79901
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 369 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Serviette à main - DOLORES - Noir - 30x30 cm - 400g - Coton naturel · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 0 units, trending down -100.0% · on-hand 0 units (OUT OF STOCK)
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (511 days of history, 189 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.13 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 0 units · prev 4w = 17 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 3.1 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 16.9 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 59.9 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 23.5 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 122.1 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 368.8 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 4.6 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 6.2K |