Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAMY79869
Bouilloire Électrique - MGS - Inox 1.8L - 1800W - Gris - Système anti-calcaire - Maintien au chaud
longtail
1P + 3P
PETIT DEJEUNER - CAFE
Last 4 weeks demand
8
≈ stable (0.0% vs prev 4w)
Offer Stock
85
Σ Stock across 4 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
8
≈ 2.9 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-08-05
Unit price
MAD 97
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-07-30
AAAMY79869
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 159 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Bouilloire Électrique - MGS - Inox 1.8L - 1800W - Gris - Système anti-calcaire - Maintien au chaud · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 8 units, stable demand · on-hand 8 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (609 days of history, 191 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.29 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 8 units · prev 4w = 8 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 4.2 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 16.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 68.4 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 8.0 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 31.4 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 158.5 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 3.0 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 15.3K |