Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAMX35432
Tapis de douche - GENERIC - Rectangle 70x40cm - Beige - Fibre - Absorbant
longtail
1P
ACCESSOIRE SALLE DE BAIN
Last 4 weeks demand
6
▼ 66.7% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
39
Σ Stock across 4 live offers
1P stock
33
≈ 43.1 weeks of cover · latest warehouse snapshot
Unit price
MAD 42
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-06
AAAMX35432
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 76 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Tapis de douche - GENERIC - Rectangle 70x40cm - Beige - Fibre - Absorbant · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 6 units, trending down -66.7% · on-hand 33 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (532 days of history, 49 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.86 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 6 units · prev 4w = 18 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 2.2 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 8.9 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 25.0 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 6.6 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 26.3 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 75.7 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.9 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 3.2K |