Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAMW79690
Télécommande de Présentation - Air Mouse - 2,4 GHz - Ergonomique - Pointeur Laser - 15 mètres de portée
longtail
3P
ACCESSOIRES TV - VIDEO - SON
Last 4 weeks demand
3
▼ 62.5% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
-25.0%
vs same 4w last year (4 units)
Current stock
325
≈ 160.4 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 58
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-05
AAAMW79690
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 143 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Télécommande de Présentation - Air Mouse - 2,4 GHz - Ergonomique - Pointeur Laser - 15 mètres de portée · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 3 units, trending down -62.5% · on-hand 325 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (532 days of history, 132 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.95 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 3 units · prev 4w = 8 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 3.7 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 14.8 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 41.5 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 10.6 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 48.6 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 142.6 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 3.2 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 8.3K |